Based on PFF simulations, the Steelers have a 75% probability of reaching the playoffs with a win in Week 10. However, this drops to 42% if they lose.
The playoff picture is unlikely to stay the same throughout the season. Therefore, it’s useful to consider the projected chances for each team, as estimated by PFF.
The accompanying charts illustrate the estimated playoff probabilities for every team, as well as their playoff leverage—meaning how their chances would shift with a win or a loss.
The NFL playoff outlook remains fluid, with teams' probabilities changing significantly based on game outcomes, emphasizing the importance of each Week 10 matchup.
Author's summary: This analysis presents updated playoff probabilities and leverage for NFL teams ahead of Week 10, illustrating how each game impacts postseason chances.